Sunday War News: Kassams; Hezbollah Kidnap Videos, Chemical Weapons; Syrian War Plans

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While Syria Arms, Barak Refuses Homefront Preparations

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Israel’s political leaders seem not to have learned very much since the Yom Kippur War in 1973. Newly crowned defense minister Ehud Barak refuses protection for the homefront in light of the serious Syrian threat, just as Israel didn’t mobilize and call up it’s military reserves upon prior warnings of impending war — lest it be seen as provocative, aggressive presumably by American satellite intelligence of the time.

The Jerusalem Posts’ report on Barak’s avoidance of distributing gas masks states; read more

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Thursday War News on Multiple Fronts

‘Hezbollah Amassing Long-Range Missiles’

Related report: ‘Syria, Iran, Hezbollah Planning War’

Excerpts;
“Damascus has set August as the month for final war preparations.”

“Reports about a Syrian military buildup and concern in the defense establishment that if various Syrian overtures were not well received in Israel, the Syrians might initiate military action to try and retain the Golan, or a piece of it.”

Al Qaeda-Linked Group Opening Up Branch in Shechem read more

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Regime in Denial Regarding Syria’s War Intentions

Column One: Fighting the Next War, by Caroline Glick (Jerusalem Post)

“Syria has no intention of fighting a conventional war against Israel. The war that Syria is planning will bear greater similarity to the insurgency in Iraq and Hezbollah’s war last summer than to Syria’s previous wars with Israel.”

Related reports: regarding Syria’s War Intentions.

Excerpts;

Haaretz’s military commentator Ze’ev Schiff accused the Barak and Sharon governments of responsibility for last summer’s war. As Schiff put it, since the IDF withdrawal from southern Lebanon in May 2000, “a threatening system [comprised of Hezbollah, Syria and Iran] arose [on Israel’s northern border], which required a preemptive strike. The aversion to conducting such a strike eventually caused the war.” read more

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On the Precipice of a New War

Column One: As We Bumble Into War, by Caroline Glick (Jerusalem Post)

“Defense Minister Amir Peretz is preparing to renew his hostilities against his greatest foes – the Israelis who live in Judea and Samaria. As to the Palestinians, Hezbollah and their state sponsors, Peretz has nothing constructive to say.”

“As is her practice, Livni ignored the fact that her ‘moderate’ friend Abbas stands at the center of those “extremists” inciting for war.” read more

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Motsei Shabbos and Sunday War News

IDF on Stand-By as Fatah and Hamas Clash

Commentary;

Israel is concerned about Fatah, Hamas violence spilling over into Israel. There is also great concern about the terrorists’ massive weapon stockpiling, weapons smuggling, improved Kassam rockets, with upgraded accuracy and more powerful warheads, networks of tunnels and Lebanon-style bunkers and Fatah, Hamas preparations for a Hezbollah-style war.

But the bottom-line is, has the government of Israel and the IDF absorbed and internalized all of the lessons of the failed Lebanon action? Can the same incompetents; Olmert, Peretz, Livni who failed in Lebanon actuate the lessons with integrity in a sustained, purposeful, successful action in Gaza? Or will we see, in the end, more 3rd party, peacekeeping forces and an Israel which strips herself of any ability to defend and secure the nation? MB read more

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How to Take Down an Evil Regime: Lessons to be Learned from the Enemy Hezbollah

100,000 Hizbullah Supporters Still Protesting

Excerpts;

“After four days of protesting, Hizbullah supporters continued to demonstrate against Lebanese President Fuad Saniora’s government on Monday morning.

100,000 people were still demonstrating outside of the parliament building in Beirut.”

Commentary;

Although Hezbollah’s demonstrations and the hundred of thousands of people involved far from represents a legitimate democratic protest or uprising, the sheer numbers and the longevity of the action proves once again that with proper motivation, masses of people can and will have impact. read more

Commission of Investigation: Examine Olmert’s Judgement in Ignoring Dangers from Hezbollah by Appointing Peretz DM…

The Chief of Staff’s Warning By Uri Dan (Jerusalem Post)

Excerpts;

“In a state willing to release 400 prisoners in return for the bodies of three Israeli soldiers – the abduction of an Israeli soldier would be considered a strategic attack.”

This was the very clear warning delivered by Chief of General Staff Dan Halutz to the top brass of the IDF Northern Command less than five months before two Israeli soldiers were abducted, and whose fate remains unknown to this day. read more

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The War of Enboldenment: A Clear Analysis of the Dimensions of the Hezbollah Front…

Cease-Fire: Shaking Core Beliefs in the Middle East, By George Friedman (Stratfor)

Commentary;

This is the first time this author has seen someone spell out in clear terms the vague understanding that most people have of the various aspects of the war. Although distribution of it was not received until yesterday, this analysis is at least as timely NOW as when it was written and published a few weeks ago — THIS IS A MUST READ. MB

An extraordinary thing happened in the Middle East this month. An Israeli army faced an Arab army and did not defeat it — did not render it incapable of continued resistance. That was the outcome in 1948, 1956, 1967, 1973 and 1982. But it did not happen in 2006. Should this outcome stand, it will represent a geopolitical earthquake in the region — one that fundamentally shifts expectations and behaviors on all sides. read more

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Parshat Beha’aloscha 5785: The Introduction of Chazakah — Then and Now?

Shalom Friends;

Our vort for Parshat HaShavua Beha’alotcha is being sponsored by Simon and Aliza Baum and family of Ramat Beit Shemesh who dedicate this vort Lilui Nishmas in honor of Simon’s Parents: Chaya Miriam Bas Boruch and Simcha ben Yehuda Leib and for the safety of the Chayalim and the liberation of all remaining hostages as well as for the good health and security of kol Am Yisrael. To the Baum family, many thanks for your sponsorship and your continued kindnesses.

You can celebrate a Simcha — a birth, a Bar/Bat Mitzvah, a Chassuna or other Simcha event in your life, or commemorate a Yahrtzeit of a loved one, or for whatever other reason by sponsoring (or as the case may be, co-sponsoring) a Parshat HaShevua. read more