IMRA Excerpts;
The fundamental difference between withdrawal within the framework of the Road Map and Olmert’s proposed retreat is that Israel wants to retreat while leaving open the question as to what happens in the void the retreat creates. It would appear that the “solution” the Olmert team is working on is to strip the Road Map of any requirement for Palestinian compliance.
This way Israel will retreat and face a sovereign entity filling the void – with all the Palestinian terror infrastructure intact. ready for the next round of war.
“Israel would retain security control over the Jordan Valley” is the same wording that PM Sharon’s team first used to describe the original Gaza retreat plan for controlling the Philadelphi Corridor after the retreat. Ultimately Israel never held the line. ]
Think Now Before It’s Too Late, by Ari Shavit
Excerpts;
For five years, Giora Eiland was the most important person on the command bridge of the Israeli ship of state. He worked in concert with the country’s leaders, doing the groundwork for them and observing them at close range when they made the most significant decisions of the past decade.
In Eiland’s view, therefore, the pattern that is emerging is fascinating: One after another, Israeli prime ministers release the genie from the bottle in the belief that they can tame it, but quickly discover that it is the genie that is taming them. What was thought to be reversible turns out to be irreversible. What was planned as a limited operation becomes comprehensive. … The strong currents in the international realm exercise their own will upon it. They mock each Israeli leader in his turn, and sweep his ship into remote and hazardous quarters.
There is no attempt at beginning-to-end planning. The opposite is true: There is great pressure to reach the finish line quickly without wasting precious time on forethought.
And the result? A questionable decision-making process with regard to the definition of the disengagement. A complete lack of decision-making with regard to the declarations on the convergence. A serious foreign policy failure vis-a-vis Iran’s nuclear program. The Hamas election surprise and a refusal to confront its significance. A country that is run like a shtetl, not a state. A country where every medium-sized company is managed more responsibly than the state itself.
The conclusion is clear: The basic law of the Israeli-Palestinian jungle is that an Israeli withdrawal does not diminish the conflict, but instead exacerbates it. Since any Israeli withdrawal is interpreted by the Palestinians as surrender, it increases their appetite to obtain additional surrenders. The result is not stability, but violence, which under the conditions of the end of the occupation, is liable to become extreme.
… The parting words of this principled public servant must not be ignored. Eiland … leaves behind him a series of warnings about the future. But above all, Eiland has commanded us to think. For their sake and for all of our sake, Olmert and Turbowicz must take on that command. The command to think now, to think before it is too late.
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