Cease-Fire: Shaking Core Beliefs in the Middle East, By George Friedman (Stratfor)
Commentary;
This is the first time this author has seen someone spell out in clear terms the vague understanding that most people have of the various aspects of the war. Although distribution of it was not received until yesterday, this analysis is at least as timely NOW as when it was written and published a few weeks ago — THIS IS A MUST READ. MB
An extraordinary thing happened in the Middle East this month. An Israeli army faced an Arab army and did not defeat it — did not render it incapable of continued resistance. That was the outcome in 1948, 1956, 1967, 1973 and 1982. But it did not happen in 2006. Should this outcome stand, it will represent a geopolitical earthquake in the region — one that fundamentally shifts expectations and behaviors on all sides.
